Nearly one in five AI researchers already expected an extinction scenario from AI back in 2024
Source: The Decoder (opens in a new tab) · Matthias Bastian
Intel Summary
Public commentary from frontier lab researchers has reignited debate over existential artificial intelligence risks. A cited 2024 survey of more than 1,500 AI researchers found an average estimated probability of 18 percent for an AI-driven human extinction scenario, with reports indicating rising concern among personnel at organizations including Anthropic, OpenAI, and DeepMind.
Why It Matters
High subjective risk estimates among leading technical researchers fuel internal dissent at frontier AI labs and increase political pressure for strict safety evaluations and regulatory guardrails before deploying advanced autonomous systems.
Organizations & Entities
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